
尽管亚洲经济体增长势头迅猛,但正面临着生产力停滞的困境。该地区近年来的增长大多依赖增量投资,而非全要素生产率(即投入转化为产出的效率)的提升,乐观来看,生产力增速正在减缓;悲观地说,则已陷入衰退。
即便在生产力尚处于上升态势的地区,其增速也难以企及美国等发达市场的领先企业。整个2010年代,东南亚领先企业的生产力增速均低于全球平均水平。(反观中国,则成功实现了同步跟进。)
“在几乎所有亚洲市场,以国内生产总值与人均国内生产总值之比来衡量的生产力,都呈现出停滞不前甚至下滑的态势,”Workday亚太区总裁西蒙·泰特指出,“我接触到的每一位高管,都对生产力问题忧心忡忡,无论是源于人口老龄化、公共政策成效欠佳,还是远程办公模式的兴起。”
以往,亚洲企业解决生产力难题的方式颇为简单直接:增加人力投入。凭借廉价劳动力,制造商和企业得以在不压缩利润的情况下实现扩张。
然而,随着亚洲经济体愈发富裕且面临老龄化问题,像过去那样通过增加雇员来解决问题已难以为继。“劳动力捉襟见肘,”泰特表示,“仅靠增加人力已无法提升生产力。”
让年轻人主导
像泰特这类高管普遍认为,人工智能(尤其是“代理型人工智能”)具备提升生产力的潜力。从理论上讲,这类新型人工智能能够自主完成用户定义的任务,使员工得以腾出时间投身于更具价值的工作。
几乎所有亚洲企业都表示希望采用这些新技术。埃森哲(Accenture)2月的一项调查显示,90%的亚洲企业计划在未来三年内采用某种形式的代理型人工智能。
然而,真正应用这些人工智能模型却是另一大挑战,尤其是对于那些几乎毫无人工智能使用经验、更不必提及人工智能代理的年长高管来说。
泰特指出,亚洲职场即将迎来五代人共事的局面,涵盖从婴儿潮一代到最年轻的“阿尔法世代”(Generation Alpha)。
“阿尔法世代的数字素养将高于前四代人的总和,”泰特表示,并补充道,而如今的人力资源主管“完全没有准备好”迎接这批精通人工智能的年轻劳动力。
根据Workday最近的一份报告,亚太地区约80%的Z世代员工期望工作场所配备最前沿技术,其中超三分之二的员工会将缺乏尖端技术视为负面因素。
不过,泰特认为,解决方案并非仅是给年轻员工提供在办公室施展才华的空间,他建议亚洲企业更进一步,把年轻一代视为亟需的专业知识来源。
“当你审视亚太地区前100家上市公司董事会的构成情况时,会发现董事会席位——甚至顾问委员会席位——仍主要由婴儿潮一代和X世代占据,”他说道,“二十多岁与三十多岁的成员占比近乎为零。”
泰特建议企业考虑推行“反向导师制”,即让年轻员工培训年长同事如何高效应用新技术。正如千禧一代或Z世代创始人可能会邀请年长一代担任董事会成员一样,泰特建议成熟企业考虑任命年轻成员,借助他们在技术和商业领域的专业知识为企业赋能。
他说道:“我们总误认为他们年纪尚轻,提不出好想法。如果你把一群聪慧过人且雄心勃勃的人聚在一起,给他们抛出一个问题,他们定能凭借帮助解决问题来创造价值。”(*)
译者:中慧言-王芳
尽管亚洲经济体增长势头迅猛,但正面临着生产力停滞的困境。该地区近年来的增长大多依赖增量投资,而非全要素生产率(即投入转化为产出的效率)的提升,乐观来看,生产力增速正在减缓;悲观地说,则已陷入衰退。
即便在生产力尚处于上升态势的地区,其增速也难以企及美国等发达市场的领先企业。整个2010年代,东南亚领先企业的生产力增速均低于全球平均水平。(反观中国,则成功实现了同步跟进。)
“在几乎所有亚洲市场,以国内生产总值与人均国内生产总值之比来衡量的生产力,都呈现出停滞不前甚至下滑的态势,”Workday亚太区总裁西蒙·泰特指出,“我接触到的每一位高管,都对生产力问题忧心忡忡,无论是源于人口老龄化、公共政策成效欠佳,还是远程办公模式的兴起。”
以往,亚洲企业解决生产力难题的方式颇为简单直接:增加人力投入。凭借廉价劳动力,制造商和企业得以在不压缩利润的情况下实现扩张。
然而,随着亚洲经济体愈发富裕且面临老龄化问题,像过去那样通过增加雇员来解决问题已难以为继。“劳动力捉襟见肘,”泰特表示,“仅靠增加人力已无法提升生产力。”
让年轻人主导
像泰特这类高管普遍认为,人工智能(尤其是“代理型人工智能”)具备提升生产力的潜力。从理论上讲,这类新型人工智能能够自主完成用户定义的任务,使员工得以腾出时间投身于更具价值的工作。
几乎所有亚洲企业都表示希望采用这些新技术。埃森哲(Accenture)2月的一项调查显示,90%的亚洲企业计划在未来三年内采用某种形式的代理型人工智能。
然而,真正应用这些人工智能模型却是另一大挑战,尤其是对于那些几乎毫无人工智能使用经验、更不必提及人工智能代理的年长高管来说。
泰特指出,亚洲职场即将迎来五代人共事的局面,涵盖从婴儿潮一代到最年轻的“阿尔法世代”(Generation Alpha)。
“阿尔法世代的数字素养将高于前四代人的总和,”泰特表示,并补充道,而如今的人力资源主管“完全没有准备好”迎接这批精通人工智能的年轻劳动力。
根据Workday最近的一份报告,亚太地区约80%的Z世代员工期望工作场所配备最前沿技术,其中超三分之二的员工会将缺乏尖端技术视为负面因素。
不过,泰特认为,解决方案并非仅是给年轻员工提供在办公室施展才华的空间,他建议亚洲企业更进一步,把年轻一代视为亟需的专业知识来源。
“当你审视亚太地区前100家上市公司董事会的构成情况时,会发现董事会席位——甚至顾问委员会席位——仍主要由婴儿潮一代和X世代占据,”他说道,“二十多岁与三十多岁的成员占比近乎为零。”
泰特建议企业考虑推行“反向导师制”,即让年轻员工培训年长同事如何高效应用新技术。正如千禧一代或Z世代创始人可能会邀请年长一代担任董事会成员一样,泰特建议成熟企业考虑任命年轻成员,借助他们在技术和商业领域的专业知识为企业赋能。
他说道:“我们总误认为他们年纪尚轻,提不出好想法。如果你把一群聪慧过人且雄心勃勃的人聚在一起,给他们抛出一个问题,他们定能凭借帮助解决问题来创造价值。”(*)
译者:中慧言-王芳
For all of their fast growth, Asia’s economies are grappling with stagnant productivity. Much of Asia’s recent growth is driven by greater investment, and not by improvements in total factor productivity, or in how efficiently inputs are turned into outputs. At best, productivity growth is slowing down; at worst, it’s declining.
And even where productivity is still improving, it’s not doing so fast enough to catch up to leading firms in developed markets like the U.S. Throughout the 2010s, leading firms throughout Southeast Asia grew productivity below the global average. (China, by comparison, managed to keep up.)
“In just about every Asian market, productivity as a measure of GDP divided by GDP per capita is stagnating or declining,” Simon Tate, Asia-Pacific president for Workday says. “Every executive that I talk to is worried about productivity,” whether due to aging population, poor public policy, or the rise of remote work.
In the past, Asian firms had an easy solution to the productivity problem: Just throw more people at the problem. Cheap labor allowed manufacturers and firms to expand without hurting margins.
But as Asia’s economies get richer and older, hiring more people is no longer the easy solution it used to be. “There are no more people,” Tate says. “There is no more productivity to be gained from just throwing people at the problem.”
Let the youth take over
Executives like Tate often argue that AI, particularly “agentic AI,” can help lift productivity. In theory, these newer forms of AI can autonomously carry out user-defined tasks, freeing up the human employee to do more.
Almost all Asian companies say they want to adopt these new technologies. A February survey from Accenture found that nine out of 10 Asian businesses were preparing to adopt some form of agentic AI in the next three years.
But actually putting these models into practice is another question, particularly for older executives with little experience working with AI at all, let alone AI agents.
Tate notes that Asia’s workplaces will soon be home to five different generations, spanning from boomers all the way through to the youngest workers, the so-called Generation Alpha.
“Generation Alpha will have a higher degree of digital fluency than the other four previous generations combined,” Tate says, adding that today’s HR officers are “not at all prepared” for the flood of AI-savvy young workers.
Around 80% of Gen Z workers in Asia-Pacific want to have the most modern technologies in their workplace, according to a recent report from Workday. Just over two-thirds of these workers would see the lack of cutting-edge technology as a negative.
But Tate thinks the answer is more than just giving younger employees the space to thrive in the office. He suggests Asian companies go one step further, and treat younger generations as a source of much-needed expertise.
“When you look at the make-up of boards of the top 100 public companies across APAC, board positions—even advisory board positions—are still very much made up of baby boomers and Gen Xers,” he says, with “close to zero” positions held by those in their twenties and thirties.
Tate suggests companies consider “reverse mentoring,” or getting a younger person to train up older cohorts in how new technologies can be best applied. In much the same way that a millennial or Gen-Z founder might ask someone from an older generation to serve as a board director, Tate suggests that established companies consider appointing a younger member of society to provide their own expertise on technology and business.
“We just falsely assume that they’re too young and they don’t have any good ideas,” he says. “If you put a bunch of really bright, super ambitious people in a room and throw a problem at them, they will add value in helping to solve it.”