雇主上月发布了740万个职位空缺，这一迹象表明美国就业市场持续降温。美国劳工部（The Labor Department）周二报告称，6月的职位空缺数量较5月的770万有所下降，与分析师的预期基本一致。
职位空缺与劳动力流动调查（JOLTS）显示，6月的裁员人数基本持平。但辞职人数——这一指标通常反映劳动者对自身在其他地方发展前景的信心——上月降至12月以来的最低水平。招聘人数也较5月有所下降。
在Bluesky平台发帖时，Glassdoor经济学家丹尼尔·赵（Daniel Zhao）写道，该报告“显示各项数据较为疲软，招聘率和离职率仍处于低迷状态。既谈不上糟糕，也称不上出色，更像是平平无奇。”
今年美国就业市场失去了增长动力，一方面源于美联储在2022年和2023年间为抑制通胀而连续11次加息的滞后影响持续显现，另一方面源于唐纳德·特朗普挑起的贸易战引发的不确定性，导致企业管理者在做出招聘决策时犹豫不决。
周五，美国劳工部将公布7月的失业率和招聘数据。预计7月失业率将从6月的4.1%小幅上升至4.2%，但仍处于较低水平。数据公司FactSet针对经济学家展开的调查表明，企业、政府机构和非营利组织7月预计新增11.5万个就业岗位，低于6月的14.7万个。
表面上看似可观的6月招聘数据，实则透露出更为疲软的态势。6月私营部门就业人数仅新增7.4万，创下去年10月飓风冲击就业市场以来的最低纪录。州和地方政府在6月新增了近6.4万个教育岗位，不过经济学家怀疑，这一数据因学年结束时的季节性因素被夸大。
今年迄今为止，美国经济每月新增13万个就业岗位，低于去年的16.8万个，也低于2021年至2023年新冠疫情封锁措施解除后经济复苏期间每月平均40万个的增量水平。
雇主招聘意愿下降，也不愿裁员。裁员人数仍低于疫情前水平。（*）
译者：中慧言-王芳
雇主上月发布了740万个职位空缺，这一迹象表明美国就业市场持续降温。美国劳工部（The Labor Department）周二报告称，6月的职位空缺数量较5月的770万有所下降，与分析师的预期基本一致。
职位空缺与劳动力流动调查（JOLTS）显示，6月的裁员人数基本持平。但辞职人数——这一指标通常反映劳动者对自身在其他地方发展前景的信心——上月降至12月以来的最低水平。招聘人数也较5月有所下降。
在Bluesky平台发帖时，Glassdoor经济学家丹尼尔·赵（Daniel Zhao）写道，该报告“显示各项数据较为疲软，招聘率和离职率仍处于低迷状态。既谈不上糟糕，也称不上出色，更像是平平无奇。”
今年美国就业市场失去了增长动力，一方面源于美联储在2022年和2023年间为抑制通胀而连续11次加息的滞后影响持续显现，另一方面源于唐纳德·特朗普挑起的贸易战引发的不确定性，导致企业管理者在做出招聘决策时犹豫不决。
周五，美国劳工部将公布7月的失业率和招聘数据。预计7月失业率将从6月的4.1%小幅上升至4.2%，但仍处于较低水平。数据公司FactSet针对经济学家展开的调查表明，企业、政府机构和非营利组织7月预计新增11.5万个就业岗位，低于6月的14.7万个。
表面上看似可观的6月招聘数据，实则透露出更为疲软的态势。6月私营部门就业人数仅新增7.4万，创下去年10月飓风冲击就业市场以来的最低纪录。州和地方政府在6月新增了近6.4万个教育岗位，不过经济学家怀疑，这一数据因学年结束时的季节性因素被夸大。
今年迄今为止，美国经济每月新增13万个就业岗位，低于去年的16.8万个，也低于2021年至2023年新冠疫情封锁措施解除后经济复苏期间每月平均40万个的增量水平。
雇主招聘意愿下降，也不愿裁员。裁员人数仍低于疫情前水平。（*）
译者：中慧言-王芳
Employers posted 7.4 million job vacancies last month, a sign that the American job market continues to cool. The Labor Department reported Tuesday that job openings in June were down from 7.7 million in May and were about what forecasters had expected.
The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) showed that layoffs were little changed in June. But the number of people quitting their jobs — a sign of confidence in their prospects elsewhere — dropped last month to the lowest level since December. Hiring also fell from May.
Posting on Bluesky, Glassdoor economist Daniel Zhao wrote that the report “shows softer figures with hires and quits rates still sluggish. Not dire, not amazing, more meh.”
The U.S. job market has lost momentum this year, partly because of the lingering effects of 11 interest rate hikes by the inflation fighters at the Federal Reserve in 2022 and 2023 and partly because President Donald Trump’s trade wars have created uncertainty that is paralyzing managers making hiring decisions.
On Friday, the Labor Department will put out unemployment and hiring numbers for July. They are expected to show that the unemployment rate ticked up to a still-low 4.2% in July from 4.1% in June. Businesses, government agencies and nonprofits are expected to have added 115,000 jobs in July, down from 147,000 in June, according to a survey of economists by the data firm FactSet.
The seemingly decent June hiring numbers were weaker than they appeared. Private payrolls rose just 74,000 in June, fewest since last October when hurricanes disrupted job sites. And state and local governments added nearly 64,000 education jobs in June – a total that economists suspect was inflated by seasonal quirks around the end of the school year.
So far this year, the economy has been generating 130,000 jobs a month, down from 168,000 last year and an average 400,000 a month from 2021 through 2023 during the recovery from COVID-19 lockdowns.
Employers are less likely to hire, but they’re also not letting workers go either. Layoffs remain below pre-pandemic levels.